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analisis sistema 01 en el spy

Sistema nº 1 sobre el spy


Aquí tenemos los datos referidos a nuestro primer sistema

 

 Performance Metrics

                           Strategy        Benchmark
-------------------------  --------------  -----------
Start Period               2000-10-16      2000-10-16
End Period                 2019-12-02      2019-12-02
Risk-Free Rate             0.0%            0.0%
Time in Market             75.0%           100.0%

Cumulative Return          12,937,322.75%  1,013.57%
CAGR%                      84.96%          13.42%
Sharpe                     1.63            0.82
Sortino                    2.64            1.23
Max Drawdown               -59.59%         -37.92%
Longest DD Days            334             1836
Volatility (ann.)          45.67%          17.89%
R^2                        0.04            0.04
Calmar                     1.43            0.35
Skew                       0.66            0.65
Kurtosis                   7.96            12.43

Expected Daily %           0.26%           0.05%
Expected Monthly %         5.23%           1.05%
Expected Yearly %          80.13%          12.81%
Kelly Criterion            15.26%          11.82%
Risk of Ruin               0.0%            0.0%
Daily Value-at-Risk        -4.44%          -1.8%
Expected Shortfall (cVaR)  -6.71%          -6.71%

Payoff Ratio               1.09            1.04
Profit Factor              1.43            1.17
Common Sense Ratio         1.79            1.11
CPC Index                  0.87            0.67
Tail Ratio                 1.25            0.95
Outlier Win Ratio          4.29            8.59
Outlier Loss Ratio         2.52            6.84

MTD                        -3.82%          -0.85%
3M                         19.11%          5.53%
6M                         70.26%          11.77%
YTD                        75.53%          23.08%
1Y                         72.4%           15.29%
3Y (ann.)                  81.2%           15.26%
5Y (ann.)                  79.17%          13.98%
10Y (ann.)                 81.69%          16.54%
All-time (ann.)            84.96%          13.42%

Best Day                   24.41%          14.52%
Worst Day                  -16.44%         -8.85%
Best Month                 46.11%          19.67%
Worst Month                -41.18%         -10.47%
Best Year                  442.95%         42.82%
Worst Year                 -12.1%          -22.23%

Avg. Drawdown              -5.34%          -1.79%
Avg. Drawdown Days         19              21
Recovery Factor            217090.72       26.73
Ulcer Index                1.0             1.01

Avg. Up Month              12.72%          2.85%
Avg. Down Month            -9.12%          -2.83%
Win Days %                 55.76%          55.07%
Win Month %                71.56%          69.7%
Win Quarter %              80.0%           75.32%
Win Year %                 95.0%           80.0%

Beta                       0.54            -
Alpha                      0.67            -

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